Thursday, December 29, 2011

Where they live is how they die



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If there is a God, then He will bring disaster after disaster to the Philippines. He will have little choice but to do it. It remains the gentler way through which He can trigger change, much kinder than war and violence for the same purpose.
I accompanied the Gawad Kalinga leadership to Cagayan de Oro and iligan Cily the other day so we could best determine with local volunteers the most effective way to help with our limited resources. In the heat of a disaster that has just struck and afflicted great numbers, there is that understandable flurry of help activities from many sectors beginning with government to NGOs and simply ordinary citizens who want to help. There is also that burst of concern, sympathy and resources generated abroad among Filipinos living in foreign lands. Yes, disaster reminds us we are brothers and sisters after all, and the fate of one necessarily affects the other.
When the exhaustion of being in the center of relief work forces this senior citizen to rest, I cannot help but see a tapestry of a situation that is truly just one even though it may look like separate events. I refer to disasters and how often they strike and how consistently they target the poor. I am not talking about the wrath of nature, I am talking about her victims, I am talking almost always about the poor.
Coincidentally enough, a fire hit a community of informal settlers in Iligan City around 2003 and prompted the mayor the with the infant movement, Gawad Kalinga or GK, to build a new community for them. That community, called GK Missionville, still stands. But an even earlier community built on a former garbage dump in the same city was destroyed by the floods of Typhoon Sendong. This is a lesson we have long learned – do not build on former garbage dumps. It is not just the sanitation problem, it is an expression that the poor are severely undervalued and a garbage dunp is good enough for them.
After that fire, GK went to relief and rehabilitation work in Pinut-an Island of Souther Leyte when landslides hit three towns, Liloan, san Ricardo and San Francisco. This was quickly followed by the great fire of Baseco in early 2004. Razed to the ground, the old colony of informal settlers numbering over 5,000 families went into shock and paralyzed even their traditional pattern of violence there. When GK started building homes and communities, Baseco had a record of 28 unsolved murders just the year before. All these post-disaster relief and reconstruction work prepared GK for the great disaster at the end of 2004 when four typhoons hit Luzon in a period of three weeks. GK waded into the most massive relief and reconstruction work of its young history, concentrating in Mindoro, Bicol, Quezon, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya and Isabela.
There have been other disasters since then, of course, where I have participated in helping with relief and rebuilding work. It seems non-stop with a recurring face and story. Disaster is mostly the face of the poor. Because they are landless and can stay only in areas which are undesirable or of no value to the rest of society, the poor invariably have four favorite habitats – seashores (without white sands), river banks and canals, upland slopes, and squatter colonies in urban areas. By their choice of where to stay, the poor also choose their most probable way of dying. Those who live in seashores are killed by typhoons. Those who live along river banks and canals are killed by floods. Those who live along the upland slopes are killed by landslides. And those who build colonies in the cities are killed by fire. Those who escape live lives shortened by illness, malnutrition and inner city violence.
Disaster do not spare the rich, or the not-so-poor. Some are killed as well. But the places where their homes are situated can withstand natural calamities better, more insulated from floods, fires and landslides and more resistant to the winds and rains of typhoons. I do not have figures but have a good memory of the social terrain of disasters where I was personally exposed to because of my Gawad Kalinga advocacy. I have seen the ratio of rich and poor victims of disaster and they follow closely the economic brackets. If one thousand have perished so far in CDO and Iligan, I can venture to assume that victims will be 9 poor to 1 rich, or even higher for the poor. That is why there are many who are intuitively drawn to sympathize and help – because they know that the victims are mostly, and often, only the poor. If disaster strikes Forbes Park or Ayala Alabang, there would be sympathy, of course, if there are many deaths – but money will NOT be raised for them, food packs will NOT be prepared and distributed, or boxes of used clothes and blankets will NOT be shipped to them.
When death and destruction stare us in the face, our souls cringe from empathy and our hearts are awakened enough to immediately help. But the last eight years of post-disaster intervention has shown me, and will show me again with CDO and Iligan, that most who help today will shirt their attention to their daily concerns pretty soon and that empathy for the plight of victims, for the plight of the poor, will fade away until the next great tragedy. It is not that they are less humane, I believe. It might be that the natural caring for one another is largely absent in a country where solidarity among Filipinos is virtually non-existent outside of catastrophic situations. The clear lack of a sense of nation manifests itself in a clear lack of concern for one another as a people in our day-to-day lives. That is why poverty persists over extended periods, over centuries, without a sense of urgency to solve the legacy of poverty.
If there is a God, He has to intervene, to find ways to make us understand we are one people, one Filipino race, that rich and poor are not the same but not different enough to live and die in such ugly contrasting ways. So far, God chooses natural calamities to remind us. Let us not force Him to find more painful ways. It is Christmas, we might hear better this time.

2012 seen as banner year for tourism, hotel sectors



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(Second in a series)
What would be on the up-and-up the coming year? Inquirer Property continues the fearless forecast of the real estate industry for 2012:
Ø  Emerging trends will spring up from various sources in 2012, fueled in great part by Internet marketing. Property analysts also see pocket developments in new central business districts, while competition will shift to the home-buying experience, which, says Enrique Soriano, professor at the Ateneo Graduate School of Business and senior adviser at Wong+Bernstein Business Advisory, would revolve around hybrid residential-cum-leisure projects. Soriano adds that locations most likely to “break out” and make themselves known would be Alabang, Laguna and Cebu.
Ø  Condos will continue to lord it over in cities and emerging growth centers. Condominiums in cities would gain on subdivisions and related housing developments in 2012. Soriano says this particular asset class will likely to be sustained in 2012. Aside from the NCR and Cebu, specific locations in the country where condos would most likely to gain a dominant foothold over housing would be emerging CBDs and regional growth centers such as Davao, Iloilo, Bacolod and Cagayan De Oro. Top leisure destinations would still be Boracay and Baguio.
Ø  It would also be the office sector’s banner year. Rick Santos, chair and CEO of CBRE Philippines, and Victor Asuncion, executive director for Global Research & Consultancy, say expansion of business process outsourcing companies, shared services, and call centers would continue as economies tighten in the West (United States and Europe). They also add the expansion of BPOs in the North (such as Clark and Subic); opening of the first precertified LEED Gold for Core & Shell Building in Makati—The Zuellig Building; and the synergistic relation of Bonifacio Global City and Makati in the office sector in the next two years.
Ø  More tourism-oriented developments to rise in 2012. Paul Vincent Chua, associate director for valuation and advisory services and head of consultancy and research of Colliers International, says: “We will see a lot more tourism-oriented developments as we strive to enhance the beauty of the Philippines on the international scene and get more tourists to visit us.”
Chua says major developers and investors are now studying the impact of the country’s international presence through improved marketing efforts of the Department of Tourism, and recently the inclusion of Palawan’s Underground River as one of the Seven Wonders of Nature would also showcase the Philippine’s other natural beauty.
Related to tourism would be the gaming business, and as evidenced by the success of Resorts World, there would be more such establishments, Chua foresees, once Pagcor’s Entertainment City gives rise to more world-class hotels and casinos.
“What is critical now is how the government will answer the growing concerns on the public-private partnerships (PPPs), particularly in the infrastructure and transport sector, which are equally important in tourism. We also need to rectify quickly the concerns on our international airport, which is still rated as one of the worst in the world. In a related issue would be the problem of international carriers leaving the country as one of its hubs in Asia. This would mean additional costs to both tourists and locals who are also traveling to other parts of the world,” Chua says.
Ø  Hotel and leisure sector will be dynamic in 2012. The expected growth in tourist arrivals, and with the advent of the gaming sector in the country, growth in hotels and leisure establishments would naturally follow, according to Santos and Asuncion.
CBRE observed that major developments sprouting in the Bay Area such Pagcor City and Belle Grande Casino Resorts Manila have added significantly more investments in the gaming industry. The continued growth of the office sector has prompted new branded hotel projects such as Shangri-La at Bomifacio Global City, the Grand Hyatt and Fairmont Hotel.
Investments and developments in serviced apartments have been spurred by the increase in medium-term staying business travelers such as BPO (business process outsourcing) trainers and consultants
Tourism to prosper in 2012
The expansion of the tourism sector will also be seen in Cebu and the Visayas region as more residential and office developments begin, driven primarily by the BPO expansion in the region.
The expansion of the liberalized airline industry signals more foreign carriers to come in. Air Asia, for example has provided cheaper alternatives for international travel to local tourists.
The continued increase of foreign tourist arrivals, coupled with growth in domestic tourists traveling across the archipelago, has triggered new hotel developments in key tourist destinations. This trend will continue in 2012, with certain prime locations to enjoy more prominence, such as Boracay, Cebu, Davao, Cagayan de Oro, Palawan, Clark and Subic.
Foreign investments into medical facilities will also bode well for the emergence of the Philippines as a majormedical tourism destination. Upgrading and expansion of tertiary hospitals provide options and alternatives to medical tourists as well as returning retirees like balikbayans.
Ø  Live-work-play projects will continually prosper in Metro Manila and other expanding cities. Chua says there will be more mixed-use developments as a key strategy for developers, as this will maximize the returns on a large plot of land.
“This would mean a continued focus on the live-work-play concept started by Megaworld, particularly in Metro Manila and other highly urbanized cities. We also saw successful launches of condominiums in Visayas and Mindanao by Ayala Land’s Avida, which will continue in 2012. Related to mixed-use developments are retail developments. In Metro Manila, we saw a lot of vertical developments with retail podiums on the ground floor. However, since super regional and regional malls have about 99-percent occupancy rate in Metro Manila, we will see more expansion geographically,” Chua explains.
Ø  CBRE Philippines also predicts the high-end residential sector to become more popular in 2012.
Ø  Growth of mid-income residential developments in 2012. Santos and Asuncion observed that young urban dwellers and start-up families have fueled the growth and expansion of middle-income vertical subdivision developments (i.e. condominiums) across Metro Manila with concentration on the peripheries of business districts. This trend would most likely continue in 2012.
Ø  Continued demand in retail sector in 2012. CBRE Philippines sees the following to continue in 2012:
Retail expansion for neighborhood centers, supermarkets, hypermarkets and malls to continue across the country with new retail developments from Ayala Land, SM Prime, Robinsons Retail, Puregold Price Club, Rustan’s and Waltermart about to become operational.
Increased expenditure for dine-outs, or food consumed outside home, would fuel the expansion of fast-food chains, retail kiosks as well as beverage shops such as coffee, milk tea and frozen yoghurt.
More industrial and logistics interests in the Philippines in 2012, as wages in China go up, and in the aftermath of the Thailand floods. Such developments have caused more manufacturing plants and facilities to relocate and open in the Philippines. CBRE Philippines says these indicators in 2011 portend continued growth in 2012.